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Modeling Strategies for Adaptation to Linked Climate and Land Use Change in the United States
Project Start Date
06/01/2009
Project End Date
05/31/2012
Grant Number
08-LCLUC08-2-0050
Project Call Name
Regional_Initiative_Name
Solicitation
default

Team Members:

Person Name Person role on project Affiliation
Scott Goetz Principal Investigator Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, United States
Ramakrishna Nemani Co-Investigator University of Maryland, College Park, Moffett Field, United States
David Theobald Co-Investigator Conservation Science Partners, Fort Collins, US
Forrest Melton Co-Investigator Foundation of California State University Monterey Bay, Moffett Field, United States
Cristina Milesi Co-Investigator NASA Ames Research Center, Palo Alto, United States
Abstract

Over the coming century, changes in climate and land use and land cover (LULC) have the potential to create major changes in land surface temperature, watershed runoff, and ecosystem productivity throughout much of the world. There are a number of potential best management practices (BMPs) for land use planning and design that could be implemented to mitigate impacts resulting from changes in climate and land use. We propose to use a coupled land use ż climate change modeling approach to explore the potential impacts of climate and land use change on productivity, watershed outflow and other processes under different adaptive BMP scenarios. The model will simulate implementation of BMPs to varying degrees, and various adaptive scenarios will be compared to żbusiness as usualż scenarios to evaluate the potential benefit of the BMPs. Results from the simulations will be summarized on a decadal time-step and at the small watershed and local jurisdiction (e.g. county) scale.